Match Info

1. MFL - Round 28

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday


	Tikveš		Shkendija Tetovo

	1	X	2
	4.55	3.35	1.68
	4.7	3.55	1.62
	4.76	3.54	1.68	Watch
	4.75	3.4	1.62
	5.29	3.52	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.81 ↑ (2.74)	3.47 ↑ (3.22)	1.64 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tikveš
18.8%

Draw
26%

Shkendija Tetovo
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

28.1%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

28.7%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tikveš has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tikveš's form might have worsened.

Shkendija Tetovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shkendija Tetovo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tikveš than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tikveš, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shkendija Tetovo than the current prediction. (-17%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shkendija Tetovo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Tikveš - Shkendija Tetovo Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Tikveš will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Shkendija will win (votes: 8 - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shkendija: 55.2% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Shkendija (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shkendija (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Tasev S. (G) 34. Ackovski K. 2. Camara F. 20. Guel M. 22. Lawal T. 91. Najdovski N. 11. Petrovic M. 6. Ramadani B. 7. Stojanov M. 17. Sylla N. 21. Varelovski A. (C)	24. Gaye B. (G) 15. Fetai I. 7. Ibraimi B. (C) 5. Islami D. 10. Krasniqi E. 77. Latifi L. 26. Meliqi A. 29. Tamba F. 2. Trumci A. 11. Webster R. 17. Zejnullai A.
Substitutes
30. Gjorgjievski K. 14. Lucianinho 10. Milovanovikj D. 5. Mojsov D. 9. Sadik B. 1. Stevkovski H. (G) 19. Stojchev B. 24. Stojkoski K. 8. Tasev D. 23. Todorov M. 25. Wisdom E. O.	22. Ajetovikj N. 6. Alhassan A. 25. Amzai A. (G) 27. Kaba L. 19. Krstevski V. 20. Mazari A. 16. Murati M. 9. Ndzengue F. 30. Ramani F. (G) 49. Spahiu S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
15', 0 - 1, Meliqi A. ⚽,
21', 🟨,
36', 0 - 2, Ibraimi B. ⚽,
44', 0 - 3, Latifi L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 3, (Own goal),
54', 1 - 4, Tamba F. ⚽,
82', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tikveš won 0.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Shkendija may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Tikveš won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 9:24. (average 0.6:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Tikveš won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.8:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Shkendija	8	6	1	1	20:8	12	19
4	Tikves	8	3	4	1	17:7	10	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GFK Tikveš
North Macedonian 1 MFL
13.04.26	Struga - Tikveš	1:2 ✺
07.04.26	Tikveš - Sileks	0:3 ✺
02.04.26	Bashkimi Kumanovo - Tikveš	2:2 ✺
20.03.26	Tikveš - AP Brera Strumica	6:1 ✺
15.03.26	Tikveš - Shkupi	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLTWW
- Shkendija Tetovo
North Macedonian 1 MFL
13.04.26	Shkendija Tetovo - Shkupi	1:2 ✺
08.04.26	Rabotnički - Shkendija Tetovo	0:3 ✺
04.04.26	Shkendija Tetovo - Pelister	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Makedonija Gjorče Petrov - Shkendija Tetovo	0:1 ✺
North Macedonian Cup
18.03.26	Struga - Shkendija Tetovo	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

North Macedonian 1 MFL
14.02.26	Tikveš - Shkendija Tetovo	1:4
North Macedonian Cup
19.11.25	Shkendija Tetovo - Tikveš	2:0
North Macedonian 1 MFL
21.09.25	Shkendija Tetovo - Tikveš	1:0
06.04.25	Tikveš - Shkendija Tetovo	0:1
02.03.25	Shkendija Tetovo - Tikveš	1:0
20.10.24	Tikveš - Shkendija Tetovo	0:0
Club Friendly
28.07.24	Tikveš - Shkendija Tetovo	1:1

Tikveš - Shkendija Tetovo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide