Match Info

Steiermark - Round 28

Date: 23 May 2025, Friday


	Tillmitsch		Lafnitz 2

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.75	2.76
	2.47	3.72	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (1.81)	3.74 ↓ (3.88)	2.53 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 10.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tillmitsch
39.7%

Draw
24.3%

Lafnitz 2
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

23%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

23.6%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tillmitsch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tillmitsch's form might have worsened.

Lafnitz 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lafnitz 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tillmitsch than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tillmitsch, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lafnitz 2 than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lafnitz 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 10).

Recent performances by Tillmitsch have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lafnitz 2 is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tillmitsch will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tillmitsch won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Tillmitsch won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Tillmitsch
Austrian Landesliga Steiermark
16.05.25	Kindberg Mürzhofen - Tillmitsch	1:1 ✺
06.05.25	Allerheiligen - Tillmitsch	2:1 ✺
30.04.25	Tillmitsch - Ilzer	2:2 ✺
25.04.25	Kalsdorf - Tillmitsch	4:2 ✺
11.04.25	Tillmitsch - Fürstenfeld	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLTLW
- SV Lafnitz 2
Austrian Landesliga Steiermark
17.05.25	Lafnitz 2 - Fürstenfeld	1:1 ✺
06.05.25	Lafnitz 2 - Bad Waltersdorf	2:0 ✺
02.05.25	Heiligenkreuz am Waasen - Lafnitz 2	3:6 ✺
25.04.25	Weinland Gamlitz - Lafnitz 2	1:5 ✺
22.04.25	Lafnitz 2 - Mochart Köflach	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Landesliga Steiermark
25.10.24	Lafnitz 2 - Tillmitsch	2:1
20.10.23	Tillmitsch - Lafnitz 2	5:1

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