Match Info

Asian Cup - Qualification - Third round - Round 2

Date: 10 June 2025, Tuesday

Location: TIO Stadium (Darwin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Maldives	Medianet, TVM, Yes


	Timor-Leste		Maldives

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.1	2.4
	2.82	3.35	2.38
	2.75	3.29	2.37	Watch
	2.75	3.2	2.3
	2.88	3.33	2.47
	2.82	3.35	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (3.91)	3.27 ↓ (4.38)	2.38 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Timor-Leste
33%

Draw
28.3%

Maldives
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

20.8%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Timor-Leste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Timor-Leste's performance.

Maldives has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maldives might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35%	15%	50%

Timor Leste - Maldives Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Timor-Leste will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Maldives will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Maldives: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Timor-Leste (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Maldives (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Timor-Leste (1.45) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DNB - Timor-Leste (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Timor-Leste (2.04) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Timor-Leste (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Maldives (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mendonca Georgino (G) Life FC 23. Correia A. 4. da Costa F. Lalenok 3. Farrugia L. Naxxar Lions 21. Freitas Gali (C) PSIS Semarang 16. Freteliano 8. Gomes Osorio C. 10. Joao Pedro Angkor Tiger 11. Mouzinho Igalo 15. Santiago da Costa 22. Zenivio Tanjong Pagar	1. Shareef H. (G) Maziya 12. Aiham A. Maziya 6. Aiham A. 8. Aisam I. 2. Ali S. (C) Maziya 7. Fasir A. Maziya 5. Irufaan M. Maziya 10. Mohamed H. Maziya 9. Naiz H. Maziya 3. Numaan A. Maziya 4. Sifaau H. Maziya
Substitutes
2. Almerito 13. Bahkito Corsino A. 18. Canavaro V. 12. de Castro Pereira J. M. (G) 19. Figo Pereira Ribeiro L. 5. Fowler J. St Albans 14. Kornelis Nahak 7. Mesquita Elias 6. Palomito 17. Requis Dias Quintao M. D. 20. Soares N. (G) 9. Xavier O. Master 7	18. Aleen I. (G) Maziya 15. Choatu Maziya 13. Eenaaz H. 14. Hassan H. Maziya 11. Hassan M. 21. Naim M. Maldives 23. Nihaan H. Maziya 17. Rasheed H. 19. Rizuvan A. Club Eagles 20. Shifaz H. Maziya 16. Usamaa I. 22. Yaameen M. (G)
Coaches
Elissetche S.	Suzain A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Joao Pedro 🟨,
30', Sifaau H. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Joao Pedro ⚽, Freitas Gali (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
69', Aisam I. 🟨,
70', Farrugia L. ↓, Xavier O. ↑,
70', Gomes Osorio C. ↓, Canavaro V. ↑,
72', Irufaan M. ↓, Nihaan H. ↑,
72', Mohamed H. ↓, Choatu ↑,
75', Hassan H. 🟨,
78', Santiago da Costa ↓, Kornelis Nahak ↑,
81', Fasir A. ↓, Naim M. ↑,
81', Naiz H. ↓, Rizuvan A. ↑,
85', Joao Pedro ↓, Figo Pereira Ribeiro L. ↑,
85', Mouzinho ↓, Bahkito Corsino A. ↑,
90+3', Freitas Gali 🟨,

Preview

East Timor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Maldives is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Timor-Leste
Asian Cup
25.03.25	Tajikistan - Timor-Leste	1:0 ✺
Friendly
20.03.25	Lebanon - Timor-Leste	4:0 ✺
ASEAN Championship
17.12.24	Cambodia - Timor-Leste	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	Timor-Leste - Singapore	0:3 ✺
11.12.24	Malaysia - Timor-Leste	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Maldives
Friendly
05.06.25	Singapore - Maldives	3:1 ✺
Asian Cup
25.03.25	Philippines - Maldives	4:1 ✺
Friendly
19.03.25	India - Maldives	3:0 ✺
16.11.24	Bangladesh - Maldives	2:1 ✺
13.11.24	Bangladesh - Maldives	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLLLW

Timor-Leste - Maldives: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide