Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 13 July 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Arena Kombetare (Tirana) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Jones R. (Eng)


	Tirana		Dinamo Batumi

	1	X	2
	2.38	2.9	3	Watch
	2.25	3	3.1	Watch
	2.25	2.95	3.25
	2.33	2.9	3.4
	2.32	2.96	3.46
	2.35	3.13	3.18	Watch
	2.32	3.15	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.62)	3 ↓ (3.13)	3.26 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tirana
40.3%

Draw
31.1%

Dinamo Batumi
28.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.9%

30.1%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

30.4%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tirana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Dinamo Batumi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dinamo Batumi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tirana than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Batumi than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dinamo Batumi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.7%	33.3%	30%

Tirana - Dinamo Batumi Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Tirana will win (votes: 11 - 36.7%). Dinamo Batumi will win (votes: 9 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tirana: 19.5% – 53.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Selmani G. (G) 28. Hoxhallari E. 27. Hila A. 5. Najdovski F. (C) 3. Mici G. 17. Doka A. 8. Jonuzi F. 22. Deliu A. 11. Latifi L. 7. Abazaj K. 9. Hasani F.	31. Chichkan A. (G) 17. Mamuchashvili V. 23. Kobakhidze M. (C) 33. Balic S. 2. Giorbelidze G. 3. Teidi B. 5. Lytvynenko I. 20. Tsitaishvili G. 7. Zaria G. 8. Jakobsen A. 40. Flamarion
Substitutes
77. Ahmetaj D. 14. Haxhiu R. 31. Kiri T. (G) 12. Kozi L. (G) 1. Lika I. (G) 44. Lulaj B. 10. Lushkja R. 33. Meta E. 30. Nikqi D. 18. Pergjoni F. 21. Qefalija K. 55. Tola H.	15. Bagrationi M. 24. Bidzinashvili I. 35. Chabradze G. 27. Gudushauri P. 9. Kapanadze T. 4. Kapianidze L. 13. Kharatishvili L. (G) 1. Kvaskhvadze R. (G) 6. Mosiashvili T. 18. Rekhviashvili G. 11. Vatsadze M.
Coaches
Shehi O.	Geguchadze G.

Preview

1st leg.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Tirana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KF Tirana
Club Friendly
05.07.23	Tirana - Struga	2:1 ✺
Albanian Cup
01.06.23	Tirana - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0:1 ET ✺
Albanian Super League
29.05.23	Erzeni - Tirana	1:2 ✺
25.05.23	Tirana - Bylis Ballsh	2:2 ✺
21.05.23	Laçi - Tirana	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWTW
- Dinamo Batumi
Georgian Super Cup
04.07.23	Dinamo Batumi - Dinamo Tbilisi	1:2 penalties ✺
30.06.23	Torpedo Kutaisi - Dinamo Batumi	0:1 penalties ✺
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
05.06.23	Dinamo Batumi - Iberia 1999	2:1 ✺
01.06.23	Dinamo Batumi - Torpedo Kutaisi	1:1 ✺
28.05.23	Dinamo Tbilisi - Dinamo Batumi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWWTW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KF Tirana
Albanian Super League
29.10.26	Tirana - Dinamo City	✺
- Dinamo Batumi
Georgian Cup
28.10.26	Dinamo Batumi - Dila Gori	✺

Tirana - Dinamo Batumi