Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 6

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Abel Alves de Figueiredo (Santo Tirso) 🌤️ ...


	Tirsense		Camacha

	1	X	2
	2.09	3.06	3.35
	1.45	4.17	6.26	Watch
	2.08	3.05	3.45
	2.5	3	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.5)	3.32 ↑ (3)	3.93 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tirsense
47%

Draw
28.7%

Camacha
24.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.1%

30%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

32.2%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tirsense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tirsense's performance.

Camacha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Camacha might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tirsense than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tirsense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camacha than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Camacha could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tirsense - Camacha Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Camacha (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 🟥,
59', 2 - 1, ⚽,
76', 2 - 2, ⚽,
87', 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Camacha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tirsense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Tirsense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tirsense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
27.09.25	Machico - Tirsense	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Tirsense - Brito	1:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
31.08.25	Tirsense - Amarante	1:2 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
24.08.25	São Martinho - Tirsense	0:4 ✺
18.08.25	Tirsense - Vianense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLLWT
- AD Camacha
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
28.09.25	Camacha - Chaves B	3:0 ✺
07.09.25	Limianos - Camacha	1:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
30.08.25	Vila Real - Camacha	3:2 ET ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
24.08.25	Camacha - Desportivo Monção	4:0 ✺
17.08.25	Mirandela - Camacha	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
04.02.24	Tirsense - Camacha	1:1
01.10.23	Camacha - Tirsense	2:1

Tirsense - Camacha