Match Info

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Tiszakécske		Ajka

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.1
	2.08	3.42	3.3	Watch
	2.02	3.24	3.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.13)	3.29 ↑ (3.17)	3.23 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiszakécske
44.3%

Draw
27.6%

Ajka
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

28.3%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

29.5%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiszakécske has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Ajka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tiszakécske than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajka than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Tiszakécske - Ajka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 3rd and 4th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tiszakécske won 3.

Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

Recently, Ajka has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Tiszakécske holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Tiszakécske has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:16 (averaging 1.7:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Tiszakécske against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 10:6 goals (averaging 2:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Tiszakecske	8	4	4	0	17:10	7	16
4	Ajka	7	4	2	1	9:6	3	14

Last Results with these Odds

Ajka - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 29.47%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiszakécske FC
Hungarian NB II
20.09.26	Soroksár - Tiszakécske	3:3 ✺
Hungarian Cup
12.09.26	Pecsi - Tiszakécske	3:2 ✺
Hungarian NB II
05.09.26	Tiszakécske - Szentlőrinc	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Nagykanizsa - Tiszakécske	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Tiszakécske - Diósgyőri	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TLWWW
- Ajka
Hungarian NB II
19.09.26	Ajka - Csákvári	1:0 ✺
Hungarian Cup
12.09.26	Ajka - BVSC-Zugló	3:2 penalties ✺
Hungarian NB II
05.09.26	Ajka - Soroksár	0:3 ✺
30.08.26	Szentlőrinc - Ajka	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Ajka - Nagykanizsa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB II
11.04.26	Ajka - Tiszakécske	1:4
Hungarian Cup
29.10.25	Ajka - Tiszakécske	2:1 ET
Hungarian NB II
19.10.25	Tiszakécske - Ajka	2:1
05.05.24	Tiszakécske - Ajka	2:1
05.11.23	Ajka - Tiszakécske	1:0
Hungarian Cup
01.11.23	Tiszakécske - Ajka	1:0
Hungarian NB II
09.04.23	Tiszakécske - Ajka	1:3

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