Match Info

NB II. - Round 9

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Tiszakécske		Ajka

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.30	3.20
	1.92	3.35	3.25
	1.94	3.53	3.40
	1.99	3.59	3.47	Watch
	1.92	3.45	3.35
	1.96	3.41	3.61
	1.97	3.40	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.13)	3.43 ↑ (3.17)	3.38 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiszakécske
46.6%

Draw
26.5%

Ajka
26.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.2%

28.3%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

29.5%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiszakécske has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Ajka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tiszakécske than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajka than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Tiszakécske - Ajka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Esery D. (G) 25. Baranyai N. 4. Eger Z. 8. Lucas 6. Milicz P. 7. Myke 77. Pataki B. 13. Polgar K. 38. Sos B. 17. Szeker A. 33. Varga J.	25. Simon B. (G) 10. Artner D. 29. Bacsa B. S. 37. Bocskay B. 71. Csoka Dom. 15. Csorba N. 30. Doncsecz L. 5. Kenderes Z. 6. Nemeth E. 7. Szabo B. 34. Tar Z.
Substitutes
88. Balla D. 5. Heil M. 10. Horvath E. 31. Kiss A. (G) 24. Kocs-Washburn E. 9. Takacs T. 26. Terbe B. 47. Usai N. 11. Wirth D.	19. Csizmadia Z. 49. Garamszegi Geczy A. 44. Gyurjan M. (G) 77. Kelemen M. 11. Kopacsi A. 8. Mohos B. 80. Papp M. 95. Pinter F. 17. Szarka J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Myke ⚽,
17', 2 - 0, Myke ⚽,
24', Bocskay B. 🟨,
30', 3 - 0, Tar Z. (Own goal),
31', Nemeth E. ↓, Szarka J. ↑,
45+1', 3 - 1, Doncsecz L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', Polgar K. 🟨,
55', 3 - 2, Tar Z. ⚽,
69', 4 - 2, Myke ⚽,
75', Milicz P. ↓, Terbe B. ↑,
75', Lucas ↓, Balla D. ↑,
76', Doncsecz L. ↓, Mohos B. ↑,
76', Bacsa B. S. ↓, Pinter F. ↑,
76', Csorba N. ↓, Papp M. ↑,
80', Tar Z. 🟨,
81', 4 - 3, Polgar K. (Own goal),
85', Mohos B. 🟨,
90', Pataki B. ↓, Takacs T. ↑,
90+2', Szeker A. 🟨,
90+2', Szeker A. ↓, Horvath E. ↑,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 3rd and 4th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tiszakécske won 3.

Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.

Recently, Ajka has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Tiszakécske holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Tiszakécske has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:16 (averaging 1.7:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Tiszakécske against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 10:6 goals (averaging 2:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Tiszakecske	11	6	5	0	24:15	9	23
7	Ajka	11	5	3	3	16:14	2	18

Last Results with these Odds

Ajka - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 29.47%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiszakécske FC
Hungarian NB II
20.09.26	Soroksár - Tiszakécske	3:3 ✺
Hungarian Cup
12.09.26	Pecsi - Tiszakécske	3:2 ✺
Hungarian NB II
05.09.26	Tiszakécske - Szentlőrinc	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Nagykanizsa - Tiszakécske	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Tiszakécske - Diósgyőri	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TLWWW
- Ajka
Hungarian NB II
19.09.26	Ajka - Csákvári	1:0 ✺
Hungarian Cup
12.09.26	Ajka - BVSC-Zugló	3:2 penalties ✺
Hungarian NB II
05.09.26	Ajka - Soroksár	0:3 ✺
30.08.26	Szentlőrinc - Ajka	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Ajka - Nagykanizsa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB II
11.04.26	Ajka - Tiszakécske	1:4
Hungarian Cup
29.10.25	Ajka - Tiszakécske	2:1 ET
Hungarian NB II
19.10.25	Tiszakécske - Ajka	2:1
05.05.24	Tiszakécske - Ajka	2:1
05.11.23	Ajka - Tiszakécske	1:0
Hungarian Cup
01.11.23	Tiszakécske - Ajka	1:0
Hungarian NB II
09.04.23	Tiszakécske - Ajka	1:3

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