The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tivoli Calcio 42.2%
Draw 27.5%
Avezzano 30.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.2%
27.8%
41%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.2%
26.9%
39.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tivoli Calcio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tivoli Calcio's performance.
Avezzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Avezzano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tivoli Calcio than the current prediction. (-10%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tivoli Calcio that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avezzano than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Avezzano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
27', 0 - 1, Ortolini R. ⚽,
43', 0 - 2, Verna C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', 1 - 2, De Marco A. ⚽,
87', 🟥,
90+6', 🟥,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )).
Tivoli is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Avezzano is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Tivoli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Tivoli won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
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