Match Info

Date: 14 May 2022, Saturday


	Tlemcen		Chelghoum

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.6	1.55
	5.5	3.6	1.53
	5.6	3.55	1.53
	6.11	3.81	1.57
	6.5	3.6	1.5
	6	3.68	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.83 ↑ (3.77)	3.64 ↑ (2.97)	1.54 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tlemcen
15.6%

Draw
25%

Chelghoum
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

31%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

32.2%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tlemcen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tlemcen's form might have worsened.

Chelghoum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chelghoum's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tlemcen than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tlemcen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelghoum than the current prediction. (-16.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chelghoum, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.4%	3.7%	88.9%

Tlemcen - Chelghoum Predictions

Users Predictions: Chelghoum will win (24 of 27 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.04% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 14).

Tlemcen is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Chelghoum is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tlemcen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Chelghoum is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tlemcen won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- WA Tlemcen
Algerian Ligue 1
06.05.22	USM Alger - Tlemcen	2:0 ✺
29.04.22	Tlemcen - Biskra	0:3 ✺
23.04.22	Saoura - Tlemcen	6:0 ✺
16.04.22	Tlemcen - Arbaâ	2:1 ✺
12.04.22	Hussein Dey - Tlemcen	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLWL
- HB Chelghoum Laïd
Algerian Ligue 1
07.05.22	Chelghoum - Magra	2:0 ✺
29.04.22	Belouizdad - Chelghoum	0:1 ✺
23.04.22	Chelghoum - Oran	0:0 ✺
17.04.22	ASO Chlef - Chelghoum	1:0 ✺
13.04.22	Chelghoum - Kabylie	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
15.01.22	Chelghoum - Tlemcen	3:1

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