Match Info
Serie D - Round 2Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Tocantinópolis |
|
Águia de Marabá |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.25 |
2.98 |
3 |
|
 |
2.42 |
3.1 |
3.12 |
|
 |
2.41 |
2.86 |
3.09 |
 Watch |
 |
2.3 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
|
 |
2.36 |
2.82 |
3.09 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↓
(2.37) |
2.91 ↑
(2.91) |
3.04 ↑
(2.91) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Tocantinópolis
38.8% | Draw
31.3% | Águia de Marabá
30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tocantinópolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Águia de Marabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tocantinópolis than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águia de Marabá than the current prediction. (+0.7%)Tocantinópolis - Águia de Marabá Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Preview
Recent form of Tocantinópolis has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).Águia de Marabá is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Águia de Marabá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tocantinópolis won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).Including home match between the teams, Tocantinópolis won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie D | | | 12.06.24 | Águia de Marabá - Tocantinópolis | 0:0 | | 09.06.24 | Tocantinópolis - Águia de Marabá | 3:0 | | 12.06.16 | Águia de Marabá - Tocantinópolis | 1:0 |
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