Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga North - Round 11

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday


	Todesfelde		St. Pauli II

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	2.8
	2.15	3.6	3
	2.25	3.57	2.99
	2.14	3.52	2.97
	2.16	3.38	2.95
	2.15	3.6	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.53)	3.5 ↓ (4.1)	2.95 ↓ (4.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Todesfelde
42.5%

Draw
26.3%

St. Pauli II
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

22.2%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

21.1%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Todesfelde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Todesfelde's form might have worsened.

St. Pauli II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St. Pauli II's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Todesfelde than the current prediction. (+20.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Todesfelde, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli II than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St. Pauli II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Todesfelde - St. Pauli II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Ahlstrand E. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Varol Y. ⚽,
31', 1 - 2, Brauburger M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
74', 1 - 3, von Knebel J. ⚽,
78', 1 - 4, Aigbekaen R. ⚽,
87', 2 - 4, Rave C. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Todesfelde is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches St. Pauli II is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

St. Pauli II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Todesfelde won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Todesfelde won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Todesfelde
German Regionalliga North
22.09.24	Todesfelde - Meppen	0:0 ✺
18.09.24	Todesfelde - Teutonia Ottensen	2:0 ✺
15.09.24	Werder Bremen II - Todesfelde	1:2 ✺
07.09.24	Todesfelde - Oldenburg	0:0 ✺
31.08.24	Blau-Weiß Lohne - Todesfelde	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.2 TWWTW
- St. Pauli II
German Regionalliga North
22.09.24	St. Pauli II - Werder Bremen II	1:5 ✺
14.09.24	Oldenburg - St. Pauli II	4:0 ✺
08.09.24	St. Pauli II - Blau-Weiß Lohne	2:1 ✺
30.08.24	Kickers Emden - St. Pauli II	0:1 ✺
25.08.24	St. Pauli II - Phönix Lübeck	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
18.10.22	Todesfelde - St. Pauli II	1:1

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