Match Info

Date: 15 February 2020, Saturday


	Tolosa		Somorrostro

	1	X	2
	3.75	2.88	1.87
	3.68	2.98	1.91
	4.11	3.05	2.01
	3.76	3.3	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↓ (3.97)	3.05 ↓ (3.3)	1.93 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tolosa
23.6%

Draw
29.6%

Somorrostro
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

26.8%

50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6%

21.1%

64.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tolosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Somorrostro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tolosa than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tolosa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Somorrostro than the current prediction. (+17.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Somorrostro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tolosa - Somorrostro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tolosa FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
09.02.20	Ariznabarra - Tolosa	2:1 ✺
01.02.20	Tolosa - San Ignacio	0:2 ✺
25.01.20	Lagun Onak - Tolosa	1:1 ✺
19.01.20	Gernika - Tolosa	1:0 ✺
04.01.20	Tolosa - Santurtzi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLTLT
- JD Somorrostro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
02.02.20	Santurtzi - Somorrostro	3:2 ✺
25.01.20	Somorrostro - Sestao	4:4 ✺
12.01.20	Somorrostro - Urduliz	3:2 ✺
05.01.20	Somorrostro - Basconia	0:1 ✺
21.12.19	Beasain - Somorrostro	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
22.09.19	Somorrostro - Tolosa	0:2

Tolosa - Somorrostro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide