Match Info

Date: 2 August 2022, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Toluca U20		Puebla U20

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	2.8
	2.04	3.45	2.8
	2.1	3.35	2.8
	2.23	3.48	2.99
	2.15	3.2	2.88
	2.3	3.48	2.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.95)	3.39 ↓ (3.43)	2.84 ↓ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toluca U20
41.8%

Draw
26.5%

Puebla U20
31.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.7%

26.6%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

28%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toluca U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Puebla U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toluca U20 than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toluca U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla U20 than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Puebla U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	30.8%	15.4%

Toluca U20 - Puebla U20 Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Toluca U20 will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Puebla U20 will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Toluca U20: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX U20 (Apertura ~ Play Offs)).

Toluca U20 is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Puebla U20 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Puebla U20 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Toluca U20 have a series of guest games.

Toluca U20 will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Toluca U20 won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Toluca U20 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Toluca U20
Mexican Liga MX U20
29.07.22	Juárez U20 - Toluca U20	1:0 ✺
26.07.22	Club León U20 - Toluca U20	0:0 ✺
13.07.22	Club América U20 - Toluca U20	2:1 ✺
10.07.22	Toluca U20 - Atlas U20	1:1 ✺
01.07.22	Necaxa U20 - Toluca U20	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLTL
- Puebla U20
Mexican Liga MX U20
30.07.22	Puebla U20 - Atlético San Luis U20	2:3 ✺
23.07.22	Cruz Azul U20 - Puebla U20	0:0 ✺
15.07.22	Puebla U20 - Club León U20	3:1 ✺
08.07.22	Puebla U20 - Santos Laguna U20	2:2 ✺
01.07.22	Mazatlan U20 - Puebla U20	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX U20
03.04.22	Toluca U20 - Puebla U20	2:0
05.11.21	Puebla U20 - Toluca U20	0:3

Toluca U20 - Puebla U20