Match Info

Date: 22 September 2022, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Toluca U20		Santos Laguna U20

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.4	2.3
	2.63	3.25	2.23
	2.55	3.25	2.34
	2.78	3.53	2.42
	2.6	3.1	2.35
	2.68	3.38	2.32
	2.6	3.35	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (2.77)	3.32 ↓ (3.49)	2.34 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toluca U20
34.3%

Draw
27.1%

Santos Laguna U20
38.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.1%

26.3%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

24.9%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toluca U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Santos Laguna U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca U20 than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos Laguna U20 than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	9.1%	63.6%

Toluca U20 - Santos Laguna U20 Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Toluca U20 will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Santos Laguna U20 will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santos Laguna U20: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX U20 (Apertura ~ Play Offs)).

Toluca U20 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Santos Laguna U20 is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Toluca U20 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Toluca U20 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Toluca U20 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Toluca U20
Mexican Liga MX U20
16.09.22	Mazatlan U20 - Toluca U20	1:0 ✺
10.09.22	Toluca U20 - UNAM Pumas U20	1:2 ✺
07.09.22	Tigres UANL U20 - Toluca U20	1:0 ✺
04.09.22	Toluca U20 - Chivas Guadalajara U20	1:0 ✺
28.08.22	Toluca U20 - Pachuca U20	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLWL
- Santos Laguna U20
Mexican Liga MX U20
18.09.22	Santos Laguna U20 - Juárez U20	3:0 ✺
14.09.22	Club América U20 - Santos Laguna U20	1:0 ✺
10.09.22	Querétaro U20 - Santos Laguna U20	2:2 ✺
06.09.22	Santos Laguna U20 - Necaxa U20	3:2 ✺
03.09.22	Pachuca U20 - Santos Laguna U20	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX U20
16.01.22	Toluca U20 - Santos Laguna U20	4:2
24.10.21	Santos Laguna U20 - Toluca U20	3:0

Toluca U20 - Santos Laguna U20