Match Info

Liga MX U21 - Apertura - Round 15

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Instalaciones Metepec Cancha 2 (Metepec)


	Toluca U21		Pachuca U21

	1	X	2
	2.60	3.98	2.19	Watch
	2.71	3.8	2.26
	2.6	3.85	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.6)	3.88 ↓ (3.98)	2.21 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toluca U21
34.8%

Draw
23.7%

Pachuca U21
41.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.2%

23%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

22.1%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toluca U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Pachuca U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca U21 than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pachuca U21 than the current prediction. (+2%)

Toluca U21 - Pachuca U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Contreras A. ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, Arroyo J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, (Pen),
1, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
5, (Pen),
5, (Pen),

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX U21 (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX U21 (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Toluca U21
Mexican Liga MX U21
22.10.25	Tijuana U21 - Toluca U21	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Toluca U21 - Querétaro U21	4:2 ✺
04.10.25	Club León U21 - Toluca U21	2:3 penalties ✺
27.09.25	Toluca U21 - Mazatlan U21	0:1 ✺
24.09.25	Toluca U21 - Monterrey U21	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWLT
- Pachuca U21
Mexican Liga MX U21
22.10.25	Pachuca U21 - Tigres UANL U21	4:1 ✺
18.10.25	Juárez U21 - Pachuca U21	1:0 ✺
03.10.25	Necaxa U21 - Pachuca U21	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Pachuca U21 - Atlético San Luis U21	2:3 ✺
23.09.25	Puebla U21 - Pachuca U21	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLWLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Toluca U21
Mexican Liga MX U21
21.10.26	Toluca U21 - Tijuana U21	✺
- Pachuca U21
Mexican Liga MX U21
25.10.26	Club América U21 - Pachuca U21	✺
21.10.26	Pachuca U21 - Cruz Azul U21	✺

Toluca U21 - Pachuca U21: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide