Match Info

BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA: PRVA LIGA - FBIH - ROUND 15

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	Tomislav		Gradina Srebrenik

	1	X	2
	1.29	5	7.5
	1.26	5.5	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.75)	5.25 ↑ (3.6)	7.65 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomislav
70.9%

Draw
17.2%

Gradina Srebrenik
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

25.2%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

25.3%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomislav has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tomislav's performance.

Gradina Srebrenik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gradina Srebrenik might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomislav than the current prediction. (-18.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tomislav that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gradina Srebrenik than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gradina Srebrenik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 7 and 5).

Tomislav is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gradina is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Tomislav is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tomislav won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Tomislav won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HNK Tomislav
Bosnian Prva Liga FBiH
11.11.23	Budućnost Banovići - Tomislav	3:1 ✺
04.11.23	Tomislav - Jedinstvo Bihać	2:2 ✺
28.10.23	Sloboda Tuzla - Tomislav	4:1 ✺
21.10.23	Tomislav - Vis Simm-Bau	4:5 ✺
15.10.23	TOŠK Tešanj - Tomislav	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTLLW
- NK Gradina Srebrenik
Bosnian Prva Liga FBiH
11.11.23	Gradina Srebrenik - Čelik Zenica	1:0 ✺
05.11.23	Gornji Rahic - Gradina Srebrenik	1:2 ✺
28.10.23	Gradina Srebrenik - Goražde	0:0 ✺
22.10.23	Mladost Doboj Kakanj - Gradina Srebrenik	0:0 ✺
14.10.23	Gradina Srebrenik - Radnik Hadžići	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Bosnian Prva Liga FBiH
18.03.23	Tomislav - Gradina Srebrenik	3:0

Tomislav - Gradina Srebrenik: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide