The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Torpedo Kutaisi 45.2%
Draw 27.2%
Samgurali Tskhaltubo 27.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.5%
24%
22.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.1%
23.3%
21.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Torpedo Kutaisi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Torpedo Kutaisi's form might have worsened.
Samgurali Tskhaltubo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Samgurali Tskhaltubo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo Kutaisi than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Torpedo Kutaisi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samgurali Tskhaltubo than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Samgurali Tskhaltubo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
1. Goshadze O. (G) 15. Kuprava L. 22. Bukia D. 4. Simic M. 33. Stamatov M. 11. Arabidze G. 8. Itrak M. 17. Lominadze N. 14. Felipe Pires (C) 35. Deisadze D. 9. Andric K.
21. Siukaev A. (G) 13. Gegetchkori L. 4. Patarkatsishvili O. (C) 25. Shatirishvili M. 27. Shergelashvili L. 20. Vinicius Vianna 10. Gilmore L. 11. Krasovski D. 15. Gean Rodrigues 9. Gaprindashvili T. 19. Siradze I.
Substitutes
29. Chitaishvili M. 25. Gergedava G. 13. Katkov G. 28. Khatoyan N. 31. Kljajic F. (G) 24. Latsabidze L. 5. Nadaraia T. 39. Pinson V. 20. Skorup D.
8. Bidzinashvili I. 28. Claudio Cebolinha 22. Gogia G. 14. Goletiani T. 26. Iashvili Z. 12. Kasradze A. (G) 7. Khorkheli N. 39. Ryan 17. Tsetskhladze N.
Coaches
Schuster D.
Oniani G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Siradze I. ⚽, Gegetchkori L. (A),
22', 1 - 1, Arabidze G. ⚽,
26', 2 - 1, Andric K. ⚽, Arabidze G. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', Krasovski D. ↓, Claudio Cebolinha ↑,
64', Gilmore L. 🟨,
66', 3 - 1, Lominadze N. ⚽, Arabidze G. (A),
66', Bukia D. ↓, Latsabidze L. ↑,
66', Siradze I. ↓, Bidzinashvili I. ↑,
66', Gilmore L. ↓, Tsetskhladze N. ↑,
67', Stamatov M. ↓, Nadaraia T. ↑,
69', Nadaraia T. 🟨,
75', Andric K. ↓, Skorup D. ↑,
75', Arabidze G. ↓, Pinson V. ↑,
77', Gean Rodrigues ↓, Khorkheli N. ↑,
77', Shergelashvili L. ↓, Gogia G. ↑,
82', Lominadze N. ↓, Chitaishvili M. ↑,
87', Pinson V. 🟨,
90+5', 3 - 2, Patarkatsishvili O. ⚽, Gegetchkori L. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torpedo Kutaisi won 4.
Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
Samgurali may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Torpedo Kutaisi could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Torpedo Kutaisi won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:25. (average 1.9:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Torpedo Kutaisi won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:13. (average 2.5:1.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Torpedo Kutaisi
27
9
9
9
43:34
9
36
7
Samgurali
27
9
5
13
38:52
-14
32
Last Results with these Odds
Torpedo Kutaisi - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 53.49%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.
Samgurali Tskhaltubo - the odds 4.08 are the expected chance of winning is 22.55%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.
Belarus
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Goshadze O. (G) 
Simic M. 
Stamatov M. 
Felipe Pires (C) 
Andric K. 
Siukaev A. (G) 
Gilmore L. 
Pinson V. 
Schuster D. 
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