Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 13 July 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Ramaz Shengelia (Kutaisi) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Levi S. (Isr)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Croatia	19:00	Arena Sport
Serbia	19:00	Arena Sport
Slovenia	19:00	Arena Sport
Ukraine	20:00	Sport 2


	Torpedo Kutaisi		Sarajevo

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.9	2.45	Watch
	2.95	3	2.35
	3	3.15	2.3
	3	2.9	2.55
	3.02	2.91	2.57
	3.02	3.13	2.45	Watch
	3	3.1	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↓ (3.03)	3.01 ↑ (3)	2.47 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torpedo Kutaisi
31.2%

Draw
31%

Sarajevo
37.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.2%

30.4%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

29.9%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torpedo Kutaisi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Sarajevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Kutaisi than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarajevo than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.3%	42.1%	52.6%

Torpedo Kutaisi - Sarajevo Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Torpedo Kutaisi will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). Sarajevo will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 42.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sarajevo: 30.1% – 75.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Kljajic F. (G) 15. Kobuladze G. 3. Monteiro P. 16. Sandokhadze N. 5. Nadaraia T. 7. Gigauri M. (C) 6. Akbari R. 27. Shergelashvili L. 14. Pantsulaia G. 8. Arabidze G. 20. Bugridze I.	39. Rogic L. (G) 22. Beganovic A. 4. Trako M. 24. Soldo V. 3. Durakovic E. 6. Zeljkovic S. 8. Vrancic M. 11. Kyeremeh F. 10. Varesanovic D. 77. Ziljkic A. (C) 9. Renan Oliveira
Substitutes
39. Caballero M. 44. Chichinadze A. 2. Goglichidze S. 1. Goshadze O. (G) 11. Haydary O. 38. Kayke David 13. Mandzhgaladze G. 21. Neto A. 10. Ninkovic N.	28. Anicic M. 50. Buljubasic M. 7. Catakovic H. 18. Guliashvili G. 29. Ikic I. 5. Jelic Balta I. 98. Mustafic M. 31. Nurkovic B. 23. Radovic S. 1. Sahinovic M. (G) 13. Sutkovic A. (G) 19. Viveros Rodallega K. S.
Coaches
Kean S.	Varesanovic M.

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Torpedo Kutaisi is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sarajevo is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sarajevo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

Sarajevo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torpedo Kutaisi
Georgian Super Cup
04.07.23	Torpedo Kutaisi - Dila Gori	1:0 penalties ✺
30.06.23	Torpedo Kutaisi - Dinamo Batumi	0:1 penalties ✺
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
05.06.23	Torpedo Kutaisi - Dila Gori	1:0 ✺
01.06.23	Dinamo Batumi - Torpedo Kutaisi	1:1 ✺
28.05.23	Torpedo Kutaisi - Shukura Kobuleti	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WLWTL
- FK Sarajevo
Club Friendly
06.07.23	Sarajevo - Domžale	3:1 ✺
01.07.23	Sarajevo - Nafta	1:0 ✺
30.06.23	Sarajevo - Shkendija Tetovo	2:0 ✺
26.06.23	Petrolul Ploieşti - Sarajevo	0:5 ✺
Bosnian Premier League
28.05.23	Sarajevo - Igman Konjic	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torpedo Kutaisi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
02.11.26	Torpedo Kutaisi - Dila Gori	✺
- FK Sarajevo
Bosnian Premier League
01.11.26	BSK Banja Luka - Sarajevo	✺

Torpedo Kutaisi - Sarajevo