Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL 2 - DIVISION B - GROUP 2 - ROUND 15

Date: 29 October 2023, Sunday


	Torpedo Moscow 2		Torpedo Vladimir

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.14	2.73	Watch
	2.33	3.15	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (1.92)	3.15 ↓ (3.25)	2.74 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torpedo Moscow 2
38.2%

Draw
28.8%

Torpedo Vladimir
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

27.9%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

27.1%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torpedo Moscow 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Torpedo Moscow 2's form might have worsened.

Torpedo Vladimir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Torpedo Vladimir's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo Moscow 2 than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Torpedo Moscow 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Vladimir than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Torpedo Vladimir, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Torpedo 2 is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Torpedo Vladimir is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Torpedo 2 will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Torpedo 2 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Torpedo 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torpedo Moscow 2
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
22.10.23	Luki-Energiya - Torpedo Moscow 2	1:1 ✺
15.10.23	Torpedo Moscow 2 - Zenit 2	0:0 ✺
30.09.23	Torpedo Moscow 2 - Yenisey 2	1:2 ✺
23.09.23	Dynamo 2 Moscow - Torpedo Moscow 2	2:1 ✺
17.09.23	Torpedo Moscow 2 - Znamya Truda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TTLLL
- Torpedo Vladimir
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
22.10.23	Torpedo Vladimir - Rodina Moscow 3	0:1 ✺
15.10.23	Dynamo Kirov - Torpedo Vladimir	3:1 ✺
01.10.23	Dinamo Saint Petersburg - Torpedo Vladimir	0:2 ✺
23.09.23	Torpedo Vladimir - Dynamo Vologda	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	Zorkiy Krasnogorsk - Torpedo Vladimir	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.7 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 2
05.11.22	Torpedo Vladimir - Torpedo Moscow 2	0:0
10.09.22	Torpedo Moscow 2 - Torpedo Vladimir	1:2

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