Match Info

National League South - Round 5

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday

Location: Plainmoor (Torquay)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Ecuador	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	Torquay United		Dover Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.5	6
	1.39	4.55	6.5
	1.39	4.68	6.71
	1.60	4.00	5.00	Watch
	1.4	4.4	7
	1.39	4.65	6.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.34)	4.46 ↓ (4.98)	6.33 ↓ (7.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torquay United
64.7%

Draw
20.7%

Dover Athletic
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.2%

18.6%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8%

17.9%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torquay United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Dover Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torquay United than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Torquay United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Torquay United - Dover Athletic Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Torquay (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Matthews A. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Cooke C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 1 - 2, Matthews A. (Pen),
59', 2 - 2, Young J. ⚽,
89', 3 - 2, Jay M. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torquay won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Torquay is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Torquay won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Torquay won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.6:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torquay United
English National League South
23.08.25	Horsham - Torquay United	2:1 ✺
19.08.25	Torquay United - Totton	3:1 ✺
16.08.25	Maidstone United - Torquay United	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	Torquay United - Enfield Town	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.25	Torquay United - Exeter City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWTWT
- Dover Athletic
English National League South
23.08.25	Dover Athletic - Salisbury	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Eastbourne Borough - Dover Athletic	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Bath City - Dover Athletic	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	Dover Athletic - Totton	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
08.07.25	Dover Athletic - Gillingham	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
20.01.24	Torquay United - Dover Athletic	1:0
05.08.23	Dover Athletic - Torquay United	2:2
English National League
12.02.22	Dover Athletic - Torquay United	1:3
13.11.21	Torquay United - Dover Athletic	2:1
17.10.20	Torquay United - Dover Athletic	2:0
17.08.19	Dover Athletic - Torquay United	1:2
07.04.18	Dover Athletic - Torquay United	1:0

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