The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Torreense U23 45.6%
Draw 25.2%
Estoril U23 29.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.7%
25.2%
34.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.4%
26.9%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Torreense U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
Estoril U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torreense U23 than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estoril U23 than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Torreense U23 - Estoril U23 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, ⚽,
37', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
63', 1 - 2, ⚽,
72', 2 - 2, ⚽,
73', 2 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 16th in the Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage: ) and 5th in the Promotion - Liga Next Gen U23 (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torreense U23 won 3.
Torreense U23 has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Estoril U23 shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Estoril U23 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Torreense U23 has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:14 (averaging 1.8:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Torreense U23 against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 4:7 goals (averaging 1:1.8 per game).