Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 7 - ROUND 26

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday


	Torrejón		Paracuellos Antamira

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.3	4.2
	1.72	3.3	4.45
	1.72	3.3	4.45
	1.7	3.44	4.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.85)	3.34 ↑ (3.25)	4.43 ↑ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torrejón
52.6%

Draw
27%

Paracuellos Antamira
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

27.8%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

24.2%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torrejón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Paracuellos Antamira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torrejón than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Torrejón that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paracuellos Antamira than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paracuellos Antamira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Bernaldo G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
61', 0 - 2, Caba A. M. ⚽,
66', 0 - 3, Pradillos Castrillejo J. ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 3, Gomez C. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Torrejón won 3.

Recent matches Torrejón is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Paracuellos Antamira is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Torrejón is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Torrejón won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Torrejón won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Torrejón CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
17.03.24	Tres Cantos - Torrejón	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	Torrejón - Canillas	2:0 ✺
03.03.24	Siello - Torrejón	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Torrejón - Colonia Moscardó	1:2 ✺
18.02.24	Trival Valderas - Torrejón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWTLT
- Paracuellos Antamira
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
17.03.24	Paracuellos Antamira - Alcorcón B	0:2 ✺
10.03.24	Real Madrid C - Paracuellos Antamira	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	Paracuellos Antamira - Móstoles URJC	1:3 ✺
25.02.24	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Paracuellos Antamira	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Rayo Vallecano B - Paracuellos Antamira	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
05.11.23	Paracuellos Antamira - Torrejón	2:2
16.04.23	Paracuellos Antamira - Torrejón	0:2
18.12.22	Torrejón - Paracuellos Antamira	2:0
13.02.22	Paracuellos Antamira - Torrejón	1:1
10.10.21	Torrejón - Paracuellos Antamira	4:1
07.03.21	Paracuellos Antamira - Torrejón	2:1
27.01.21	Torrejón - Paracuellos Antamira	3:1

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