Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 5

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Torrejón		Unión Adarve

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.20	3.10
	2.10	2.85	3.10
	2.00	3.41	3.35
	2.47	3.34	2.61	Watch
	1.98	3.35	3.30
	2.18	3.32	3.11
	2.10	3.20	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.02)	3.24 ↑ (3.05)	3.09 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torrejón
42.6%

Draw
28%

Unión Adarve
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

29.2%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torrejón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Unión Adarve has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torrejón than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Adarve than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Torrejón - Unión Adarve Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, ⚽,
42', 🟥,
45+3', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', 🟥,
72', 3 - 0, ⚽,
83', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Torrejón has recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:4 (averaging 0.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Torrejón against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:2 goals (averaging 0:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Union Adarve	5	1	3	1	6:8	-2	6

Last Results with these Odds

Torrejón - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 43.02%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Torrejón CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
27.09.26	Torrejón - Móstoles URJC	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Fuenlabrada - Torrejón	3:1 ✺
13.09.26	Torrejón - México	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Colonia Moscardó - Torrejón	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
28.08.26	Getafe B - Torrejón	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LLWLW
- AD Unión Adarve
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
27.09.26	Unión Adarve - Fuenlabrada	2:2 ✺
19.09.26	México - Unión Adarve	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Unión Adarve - Colonia Moscardó	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	San Sebastian Reyes B - Unión Adarve	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
30.08.26	Marchamalo - Unión Adarve	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
08.03.26	Unión Adarve - Torrejón	2:2
26.10.25	Torrejón - Unión Adarve	0:0
31.01.21	Torrejón - Unión Adarve	0:0
27.10.19	Torrejón - Unión Adarve	0:2

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