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Current Win Probability
Torrellano 28.7%
Draw 28.6%
Atlético Saguntino 42.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
30.2%
29%
40.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.8%
26.7%
44.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Torrellano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Atlético Saguntino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torrellano than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Saguntino than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Torrellano - Atlético Saguntino Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 1 - 1, ⚽,
67', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+7', 🟥,
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 17th in the Relegation and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torrellano won 2.
The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.
Saguntino could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Saguntino holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Torrellano has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:5 (averaging 1.2:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Torrellano against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 5:2 goals (averaging 1.7:0.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Saguntino
7
2
2
3
10:11
-1
8
15
Torrellano
7
2
1
4
7:11
-4
7
Last Results with these Odds
Atlético Saguntino - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 40.71%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.