Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Torreperogil		Huétor Vega

	1	X	2
	2.52	2.82	2.78
	2.29	2.87	3.32
	2.42	2.82	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.56)	2.84 ↑ (2.8)	3.03 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torreperogil
37.8%

Draw
32.1%

Huétor Vega
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

32.4%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

33.2%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torreperogil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Huétor Vega has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torreperogil than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huétor Vega than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Torreperogil - Huétor Vega Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, Grasa J. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torreperogil won 0.

Torreperogil is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Huétor Vega has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Huétor Vega has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Torreperogil won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Torreperogil won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Torreperogil
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
09.11.25	Huétor Tájar - Torreperogil	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Torreperogil - Melilla B	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Martos - Torreperogil	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Torreperogil - Mijas-Las Lagunas	0:1 ✺
11.10.25	Marbellí - Torreperogil	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTLLT
- Huétor Vega CD
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
09.11.25	Huétor Vega - Atlético Porcuna	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Torre Del Mar - Huétor Vega	3:1 ✺
26.10.25	Huétor Vega - El Palo	3:1 ✺
15.10.25	Huétor Vega - Granada B	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Huétor Vega - Alhaurino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
15.09.24	Torreperogil - Huétor Vega	0:3
11.02.24	Huétor Vega - Torreperogil	3:2
01.10.23	Torreperogil - Huétor Vega	1:2
23.04.23	Huétor Vega - Torreperogil	2:1
18.12.22	Torreperogil - Huétor Vega	1:1
20.02.22	Torreperogil - Huétor Vega	3:1
24.10.21	Huétor Vega - Torreperogil	2:0

Torreperogil - Huétor Vega: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide