Match Info

WSL - Round 5

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Brisbane Road (London)

Referee: Wilson M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Tottenham Hotspur		London City Lionesses

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.50	2.65
	2.35	3.30	2.50
	2.60	3.30	2.48
	2.49	3.54	2.68
	2.49	3.54	2.59	Watch
	2.40	3.50	2.60
	2.39	3.52	2.72
	2.39	3.30	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.6)	3.44 ↑ (3.26)	2.61 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tottenham Hotspur
37.9%

Draw
26.8%

London City Lionesses
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

28.2%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

27.8%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tottenham Hotspur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

London City Lionesses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tottenham Hotspur than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for London City Lionesses than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Tottenham Hotspur - London City Lionesses Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kop L. (G) 4. Dijkstra C. 32. Koga T. 6. Nilden A. 41. Blakstad J. 8. Gaupset S. 24. Spence D. (C) 11. Holdt O. 23. Pelova V. 16. Hanson K. 9. Tandberg C.	77. Lete E. (G) 2. Fernandez J. 4. Kardinaal I. 44. Leon M. 7. Corrales L. 88. Geyoro G. 16. Arques D. 14. Godfrey F. 10. van de Donk D. 11. Putellas A. (C) 21. Diani K.
Substitutes
18. Gunning Williams L. 19. Martinez S. 3. Morris E. 14. Nilden M. 12. Panengstuen S. (G) 5. Sombath A. 25. Summanen E. 13. Vinberg M. 22. Wijk H.	19. Anyomi N. 20. Cascarino D. 27. Earps M. (G) 23. Goodwin I. 76. Kafaji R. 13. Linari E. 17. Parris N. 6. Perez M. 97. Thomsen J.
Coaches
Ho M.	Maestre E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
3', 0 - 1, Putellas A. ⚽,
22', 0 - 2, Diani K. ⚽, Corrales L. (A),
34', 0 - 3, Putellas A. ⚽, van de Donk D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Dijkstra C. ↓, Morris E. ↑,
46', Hanson K. ↓, Vinberg M. ↑,
52', 0 - 4, van de Donk D. ⚽, Diani K. (A),
54', 1 - 4, Pelova V. ⚽,
68', Pelova V. ↓, Martinez S. ↑,
69', Gaupset S. 🟨,
71', Godfrey F. ↓, Anyomi N. ↑,
74', 1 - 5, Diani K. ⚽,
85', Diani K. ↓, Cascarino D. ↑,
85', Corrales L. ↓, Thomsen J. ↑,
90+2', Geyoro G. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
90+2', Putellas A. ↓, Goodwin I. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 6, Cascarino D. ⚽, van de Donk D. (A),

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 2nd and 4th).

Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.

Lionesses could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Lionesses has had a run of games away from home.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Tottenham: Gunning Williams L. (Head Injury) Hunt C. (Knee Injury) Naz J. (Knee Injury) Oroz M. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Lionesses: Asllani K. (Injury) Henson C. (Thigh Injury) Marcetto M. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Lionesses: Anyomi N. (Lacking Match Fitness) Kennedy A. (Knock).

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Tottenham has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 12:7 (averaging 3:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Tottenham against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 7:1 goals (averaging 3.5:0.5 per game).

Outrights of English WSL for now

London City Lionesses W: 19.36% Tottenham W: 3.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	London City Lionesses W	5	4	0	1	15:5	10	12
4	Tottenham W	5	3	1	1	16:8	8	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tottenham Hotspur LFC
English League Cup Women
30.09.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Tottenham Hotspur	0:1 ✺
English WSL
27.09.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Aston Villa	4:0 ✺
English League Cup Women
23.09.26	Tottenham Hotspur - West Ham	0:1 penalties ✺
English WSL
20.09.26	Crystal Palace - Tottenham Hotspur	0:7 ✺
13.09.26	Liverpool LFC - Tottenham Hotspur	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLWT
- London City Lionesses
English League Cup Women
30.09.26	Ipswich Town - London City Lionesses	0:1 ✺
English WSL
26.09.26	London City Lionesses - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:0 ✺
English League Cup Women
23.09.26	Leicester City - London City Lionesses	0:2 ✺
English WSL
19.09.26	Charlton Athletic - London City Lionesses	1:4 ✺
12.09.26	West Ham - London City Lionesses	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English WSL
03.05.26	Tottenham Hotspur - London City Lionesses	2:1
English FA Cup Women
23.02.26	London City Lionesses - Tottenham Hotspur	2:3 penalties
English WSL
09.11.25	London City Lionesses - Tottenham Hotspur	4:2
English FA Cup Women
29.01.23	Tottenham Hotspur - London City Lionesses	5:0

Tottenham Hotspur - London City Lionesses: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide