Match Info

National 2 - Group C - Round 21

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Toulon		Lusitanos Saint-Maur

	1	X	2
	2.91	2.96	2.36
	2.93	2.99	2.4
	2.9	2.75	2.3
	2.96	2.96	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.92)	2.92 ↑ (2.91)	2.35 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toulon
30.8%

Draw
30.9%

Lusitanos Saint-Maur
38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

30.7%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Toulon have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Lusitanos Saint-Maur have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulon than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitanos Saint-Maur than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Toulon - Lusitanos Saint Maur Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National).

Toulon has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lusitanos is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Toulon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Toulon	7	3	3	1	9:5	4	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toulon
French National 1 - Group C
07.03.26	Rousset SVO - Toulon	2:3 ✺
21.02.26	Toulon - GOAL FC	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Nîmes - Toulon	3:2 ✺
07.02.26	Toulon - Creteil	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Grasse - Toulon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WTLLL
- US Lusitanos Saint-Maur
French National 1 - Group C
07.03.26	Lusitanos Saint-Maur - Fréjus Saint-Raphaël	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	GFA Rumilly Vallières - Lusitanos Saint-Maur	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Lusitanos Saint-Maur - Limonest	3:2 ✺
07.02.26	Istres - Lusitanos Saint-Maur	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Lusitanos Saint-Maur - Andrézieux	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

French National 1 - Group C
04.10.25	Lusitanos Saint-Maur - Toulon	0:1

Toulon - Lusitanos Saint-Maur