Match Info

NORWAY: DIVISION 3 - GROUP 5 - ROUND 21

Date: 25 September 2023, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Trønder-Lyn		Rosenborg II

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.97	4.37	1.85
	3	3.75	1.88
	3.64	4.25	1.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (1.93)	4.12 ↑ (4)	1.81 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trønder-Lyn
28.2%

Draw
21.9%

Rosenborg II
49.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.3%

22.8%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

23.3%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trønder-Lyn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Trønder-Lyn's form might have worsened.

Rosenborg II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rosenborg II's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trønder-Lyn than the current prediction. (+20.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trønder-Lyn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosenborg II than the current prediction. (-20.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rosenborg II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	5.6%	83.3%

Trønder Lyn - Rosenborg II Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Trønder-Lyn will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Rosenborg II will win (votes: 15 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rosenborg II: 66.1% – 100%.

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Trønder-Lyn is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Rosenborg II is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rosenborg II could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Trønder-Lyn won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trønder-Lyn IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
16.09.23	Orkla FK - Trønder-Lyn	8:1 ✺
09.09.23	Trønder-Lyn - Verdal	0:3 ✺
03.09.23	Bodø Glimt 2 - Trønder-Lyn	1:2 ✺
26.08.23	Rana - Trønder-Lyn	2:1 ✺
19.08.23	Trønder-Lyn - Mosjøen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWLT
- Rosenborg BK II
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
18.09.23	Rosenborg II - Nardo	1:0 ✺
09.09.23	Tiller - Rosenborg II	1:1 ✺
04.09.23	Rosenborg II - Rana	0:1 ✺
28.08.23	Strindheim - Rosenborg II	3:0 ✺
21.08.23	Rosenborg II - Kolstad	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
17.04.23	Rosenborg II - Trønder-Lyn	3:0

Trønder-Lyn - Rosenborg II