Match Info

Thai League 2 - Round 30

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Trat Provincial Stadium (Trat)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	True Ball Thai 5


	Trat		Chonburi

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.9	1.46
	4	3.6	1.74
	3.63	3.86	1.81
	3.74	3.68	1.79
	4	3.6	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.22 ↓ (5.2)	3.73 ↓ (4)	1.71 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trat
21.7%

Draw
24.6%

Chonburi
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.9%

22%

61.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.3%

21.3%

63.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Chonburi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chonburi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trat than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Trat that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chonburi than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chonburi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Trat - Chonburi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Mateus Toto (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
68', 1 - 1, Derley (Pen),
73', 1 - 2, Kraisorn A. (Pen),

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Thai League 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Trat won 0.

Trat has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Chonburi is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Chonburi is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Trat won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:18 (average 1.4:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Trat won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trat FC
Thai League 2
16.03.25	Chainat - Trat	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	Trat - Sisaket United	1:1 ✺
28.02.25	Mahasarakham - Trat	3:2 ✺
23.02.25	Trat - Bangkok FC	2:4 ✺
15.02.25	Lampang - Trat	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL
- Chonburi FC
Thai League 2
16.03.25	Chonburi - Nakhon Si United	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Chainat - Chonburi	1:3 ✺
01.03.25	Chonburi - Kasetsart	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Chonburi - Sisaket United	5:0 ✺
16.02.25	Mahasarakham - Chonburi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 2
01.12.24	Chonburi - Trat	1:0
Thai League 1
26.05.24	Chonburi - Trat	3:2
13.08.23	Trat - Chonburi	2:2
Thai FA Cup
03.04.21	Chonburi - Trat	5:1
Thai League 1
14.02.21	Trat - Chonburi	0:0
13.09.20	Chonburi - Trat	3:2
03.10.19	Trat - Chonburi	1:1

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