Match Info

Thai League 2 - Round 18

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Trat Provincial Stadium (Trat)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Trat		Phrae United

	1	X	2
	3.45	3.5	1.85	Watch
	3.32	3.67	1.93	Watch
	3.4	3.3	1.85
	3.32	3.48	1.95
	3.33	3.4	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (2.97)	3.47 ↓ (3.52)	1.9 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trat
26.8%

Draw
25.9%

Phrae United
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

25.8%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

23.9%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Phrae United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trat than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trat, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phrae United than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Phrae United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Trat - Phrae United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Ito T. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Crislan ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 2 - 1, Phillerson ⚽,
65', 2 - 2, Sangwong S. ⚽,
90+2', 🟥,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trat won 1.

Trat has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Phrae has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Phrae has had a series of home games.

Phrae might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Trat won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 0.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Trat won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Phrae	4	1	1	2	4:5	-1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trat FC
Thai League 2
13.12.25	Chainat - Trat	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Trat - Kasetsart	0:1 ✺
03.12.25	Mahasarakham - Trat	5:1 ✺
30.11.25	Trat - Chiangmai United	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Nongbua Pitchaya - Trat	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Phrae United
Thai League 2
23.12.25	Phrae United - Songkhla	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Phrae United - Police Tero	2:2 ✺
07.12.25	Pattaya United - Phrae United	0:1 ✺
04.12.25	Phrae United - Rasisalai United	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Phrae United - Pattani	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 2
23.08.25	Phrae United - Trat	3:1
25.01.25	Phrae United - Trat	2:0
14.09.24	Trat - Phrae United	1:3
22.04.23	Trat - Phrae United	1:1
11.12.22	Phrae United - Trat	1:2
14.05.22	Trat - Phrae United	1:0
08.05.22	Phrae United - Trat	1:1

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