Match Info

SERBIA: Prva Liga - Round 15

Date: 11 November 2024, Monday

Location: Stadion FK Trayal (Kruševac)


	Trayal Kruševac		Radnik Surdulica

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.87	2.3
	3.15	2.9	2.3
	3.2	2.79	2.31
	3.35	2.89	2.38	Watch
	3.1	2.88	2.2
	3.17	2.94	2.26
	3.15	2.9	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.6)	2.88 ↓ (2.99)	2.29 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trayal Kruševac
28.8%

Draw
31.5%

Radnik Surdulica
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

30.3%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

31%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trayal Kruševac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Trayal Kruševac's form might have worsened.

Radnik Surdulica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trayal Kruševac than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trayal Kruševac, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radnik Surdulica than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Radnik Surdulica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	12.5%	62.5%

Trayal Kruševac - Radnik Surdulica Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Trayal will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Radnik will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Radnik: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Simic A. (G) 15. Bihorac F. 19. Cumic L. 10. Djurovic F. 21. Gogic F. 28. Markovic I. 11. Nikolic L. 17. Nikolic S. 31. Punosevac D. 18. Simic B. 8. Stanojevic M.	99. Randjelovic S. (G) 37. Abubakar S. 9. Bogdanovic V. 13. Dolmagic D. 66. Gasic M. 4. Hajdarevic H. 3. Marinkovic O. 23. Milic A. 14. Orescanin M. 7. Owusu D. 20. Stojanovic L.
Substitutes
2. Abdou D. 23. Ilic M. 24. Jovanovic D. 99. Maslarevic M. (G) 16. Raskovic U. 9. Ristic P. 29. Vesic U. 13. Vladisavljevic D. 6. Vojinovic P.	30. Andjelkovic J. 26. Ilic S. (G) 27. Kadijevic A. 8. Lukovic O. 12. Pavlov E. 6. Stojanovic D. 54. Stojanovic M. 18. Tomasevic N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Simic B. ⚽,
43', Nikolic L. 🟨,
44', Djurovic F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', 1 - 1, Milic A. ⚽,
56', Djurovic F. ↓, Ristic P. ↑,
69', Owusu D. ↓, Pavlov E. ↑,
73', Markovic I. ↓, Raskovic U. ↑,
77', Dolmagic D. ↓, Tomasevic N. ↑,
88', Punosevac D. 🟨,
90', Bihorac F. 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 2, Pavlov E. ⚽,
90+6', 🟨,
90+8', 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Trayal Kruševac
Serbian Prva Liga
03.11.24	Mačva Šabac - Trayal Kruševac	2:0 ✺
26.10.24	Trayal Kruševac - Smederevo	3:0 ✺
21.10.24	Dubočica - Trayal Kruševac	0:4 ✺
13.10.24	Trayal Kruševac - Sloven Ruma	1:1 ✺
04.10.24	Vršac - Trayal Kruševac	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWTL
- Radnik Surdulica
Serbian Prva Liga
04.11.24	Radnik Surdulica - Sloboda Užice	2:0 ✺
Serbian Cup
30.10.24	FAP Priboj - Radnik Surdulica	2:3 ✺
Serbian Prva Liga
26.10.24	Mladost Novi Sad - Radnik Surdulica	0:0 ✺
19.10.24	Radnik Surdulica - Inđija	5:0 ✺
11.10.24	Javor Ivanjica - Radnik Surdulica	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Cup
26.09.19	Trayal Kruševac - Radnik Surdulica	2:3

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