Match Info

SERBIA: PRVA LIGA - ROUND 18

Date: 14 November 2022, Monday


	Trayal Kruševac		Železničar Pančevo

	1	X	2
	3.6	3	1.93
	3.36	2.99	1.9
	3.7	2.9	1.95
	3.7	3.22	1.93
	3.85	3.2	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (3.29)	3.06 ↑ (2.86)	1.94 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trayal Kruševac
24.6%

Draw
29.2%

Železničar Pančevo
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

31.3%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

31.7%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trayal Kruševac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Železničar Pančevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trayal Kruševac than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Železničar Pančevo than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Železničar Pančevo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	8%	72%

Trayal Kruševac - Železničar Pančevo Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Trayal will win (votes: 5 - 20%). Železničar P will win (votes: 18 - 72%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Železničar P: 54.4% – 89.6%.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Trayal Kruševac
Serbian Prva Liga
05.11.22	IMT Novi Beograd - Trayal Kruševac	3:2 ✺
30.10.22	Trayal Kruševac - Rad	2:1 ✺
22.10.22	Trayal Kruševac - Loznica	1:0 ✺
16.10.22	Mačva Šabac - Trayal Kruševac	3:1 ✺
08.10.22	Trayal Kruševac - Radnički Sremska Mitrovica	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWLT
- Železničar Pančevo
Serbian Cup
09.11.22	Bačka Topola - Železničar Pančevo	2:0 ✺
Serbian Prva Liga
05.11.22	Železničar Pančevo - Novi Sad 1921	1:0 ✺
30.10.22	Zlatibor Čajetina - Železničar Pančevo	0:1 ✺
26.10.22	Železničar Pančevo - Mačva Šabac	3:1 ✺
22.10.22	Železničar Pančevo - Vršac	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Prva Liga
14.08.22	Železničar Pančevo - Trayal Kruševac	1:0
29.03.21	Železničar Pančevo - Trayal Kruševac	1:2
23.09.20	Trayal Kruševac - Železničar Pančevo	2:1

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