Match Info

Date: 19 March 2022, Saturday


	Trenčín		Senica

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.75	7.75
	1.39	4.1	5.8
	1.34	4.7	7.6
	1.37	4.89	8.65
	1.33	4.2	8
	1.33	5	8.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.59)	4.61 ↑ (3.94)	7.72 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trenčín
68.1%

Draw
20%

Senica
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

23.3%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

15.8%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trenčín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Trenčín's performance.

Senica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Senica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trenčín than the current prediction. (-28.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Trenčín that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Senica than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Senica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Trenčín - Senica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Trenčín won 0.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Senica could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Trenčín have a series of home games.

In this match Trenčín is indisputable favorite.

Last 28 head-to-head matches Trenčín won 15 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 56-36.

Including matches at home between the teams Trenčín won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 26-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK AS Trenčín
Slovak Cup
15.03.22	Trenčín - Skalica	2:0 ✺
Slovak Superliga
11.03.22	Trenčín - Pohronie	2:0 ✺
05.03.22	Zemplín Michalovce - Trenčín	1:0 ✺
Slovak Cup
02.03.22	Trenčín - FK Humenné	3:1 ✺
Slovak Superliga
26.02.22	Trenčín - Tatran Liptovský Mikuláš	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLWT
- FK Senica
Slovak Cup
16.03.22	Senica - Pohronie	3:2 ✺
Slovak Superliga
12.03.22	Senica - Zemplín Michalovce	2:1 ✺
05.03.22	Tatran Liptovský Mikuláš - Senica	2:1 ✺
Slovak Cup
01.03.22	Sásová - Senica	0:3 ✺
Slovak Superliga
26.02.22	Zemplín Michalovce - Senica	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Slovak Superliga
18.12.21	Senica - Trenčín	1:0
18.09.21	Trenčín - Senica	3:3
20.02.21	Senica - Trenčín	2:3
04.10.20	Trenčín - Senica	0:1
27.06.20	Senica - Trenčín	1:3
20.10.19	Trenčín - Senica	2:3
20.07.19	Senica - Trenčín	3:1

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