Match Info

Date: 19 September 2020, Saturday


	Trenčín		Nitra

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.33	6
	1.42	4.4	6
	1.4	4.2	5.6
	1.4	4.6	6.4
	1.39	5.12	7.29
	1.35	4.75	7
	1.4	4.8	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.41)	4.6 ↑ (4.39)	6.44 ↑ (6.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trenčín
65.9%

Draw
19.9%

Nitra
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

20.7%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

12.3%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trenčín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Nitra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trenčín than the current prediction. (-27.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Trenčín that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nitra than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nitra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Trenčín - Nitra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Fortuna liga (Relegation Group) and 5 in the zone Promotion to Fortuna liga (Championship Group)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Trenčín is absolute favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Trenčín won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 27-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Trenčín won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK AS Trenčín
Slovak Cup
16.09.20	Spartak Myjava - Trenčín	0:2 ✺
Slovak Superliga
12.09.20	Zemplín Michalovce - Trenčín	1:1 ✺
31.08.20	Trenčín - Slovan Bratislava	1:2 ✺
15.08.20	Trenčín - Žilina	2:4 ✺
12.08.20	Trenčín - Zlaté Moravce-Vrable	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WTLLT
- FC Nitra
Slovak Cup
16.09.20	Zvolen - Nitra	0:5 ✺
Slovak Superliga
12.09.20	Nitra - Pohronie	3:1 ✺
29.08.20	Senica - Nitra	0:0 ✺
22.08.20	Nitra - Ružomberok	1:1 ✺
15.08.20	DAC Dunajská Streda - Nitra	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Slovak Superliga
11.07.20	Trenčín - Nitra	0:3
07.12.19	Nitra - Trenčín	1:1
01.09.19	Trenčín - Nitra	2:2
04.05.19	Trenčín - Nitra	1:4
30.03.19	Nitra - Trenčín	2:2
20.10.18	Trenčín - Nitra	0:1
25.09.18	Nitra - Trenčín	2:1

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