Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 8

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Tres Cantos		Móstoles URJC

	1	X	2
	5.15	3.6	1.58
	4.53	3.60	1.72	Watch
	5.22	3.65	1.58
	4.8	3.65	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.93 ↑ (3.75)	3.63 ↓ (3.68)	1.63 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tres Cantos
18.6%

Draw
25.2%

Móstoles URJC
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

24.6%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

23.9%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tres Cantos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tres Cantos's form might have worsened.

Móstoles URJC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tres Cantos than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Tres Cantos - Móstoles URJC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
49', 2 - 0, ⚽,
53', 2 - 1, ⚽,
69', 2 - 2, ⚽,
85', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )).

Tres Cantos is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Móstoles is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Móstoles is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tres Cantos won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Tres Cantos won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDF Tres Cantos
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
19.10.25	San Sebastian Reyes B - Tres Cantos	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Tres Cantos - Racing Madrid	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Las Rozas - Tres Cantos	9:1 ✺
28.09.25	Tres Cantos - Unión Adarve	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Villaverde San Andrés - Tres Cantos	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LTLWL
- CD Móstoles URJC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
19.10.25	Móstoles URJC - Carabanchel	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Móstoles URJC - Galapagar	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	San Sebastian Reyes B - Móstoles URJC	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Móstoles URJC - Racing Madrid	3:2 ✺
21.09.25	Las Rozas - Móstoles URJC	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
25.02.24	Móstoles URJC - Tres Cantos	3:1
08.10.23	Tres Cantos - Móstoles URJC	0:0
24.03.19	Móstoles URJC - Tres Cantos	3:0
04.11.18	Tres Cantos - Móstoles URJC	0:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
25.03.18	Tres Cantos - Móstoles URJC	0:0

Tres Cantos - Móstoles URJC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide