Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Tres Cantos		México

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.1	2.72
	2.67	3.06	2.61
	2.61	3.16	2.62	Watch
	2.52	3.02	2.6
	2.34	3.3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.34)	3.13 ↓ (3.3)	2.66 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tres Cantos
36.5%

Draw
29.2%

México
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

27.7%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

27.4%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tres Cantos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

México has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tres Cantos than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for México than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Tres Cantos - México Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 2 - 0, ⚽,
59', 2 - 1, ⚽,
62', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Tres Cantos is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, México has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tres Cantos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tres Cantos won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Tres Cantos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDF Tres Cantos
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
09.11.25	Tres Cantos - Galapagar	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Carabanchel - Tres Cantos	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Tres Cantos - Móstoles URJC	2:3 ✺
19.10.25	San Sebastian Reyes B - Tres Cantos	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Tres Cantos - Racing Madrid	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TTLLT
- México FC Spain
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
08.11.25	México - Carabanchel	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Móstoles URJC - México	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	México - San Sebastian Reyes B	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Racing Madrid - México	1:3 ✺
11.10.25	México - Las Rozas	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
11.05.25	Tres Cantos - México	1:0
11.01.25	México - Tres Cantos	0:2

Tres Cantos - México: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide