Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 18

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Trevigliese		SantAngelo

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.15	2.35
	2.68	3.3	2.4	Watch
	2.75	2.9	2.38
	2.66	3.15	2.38
	2.62	3.25	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.52)	3.15 ↓ (3.25)	2.39 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trevigliese
33.6%

Draw
28.6%

SantAngelo
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

27.7%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

26.9%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trevigliese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

SantAngelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trevigliese than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

The ML Model estimate for SantAngelo aligns with the current prediction.

Trevigliese - SantAngelo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Mangni D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: ) and 11).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Sant'Angelo	6	2	2	2	7:7	0	8

Last Results with these Odds

SantAngelo - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 36.68%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Trevigliese
Italian Serie D - Group D
21.12.25	Trevigliese - Tuttocuoio	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Lentigione - Trevigliese	4:0 ✺
07.12.25	Trevigliese - Correggese	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Pro Palazzolo - Trevigliese	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Trevigliese - Piacenza	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TLTWL
- ACD SantAngelo
Italian Serie D - Group D
21.12.25	SantAngelo - Lentigione	1:4 ✺
14.12.25	Progresso - SantAngelo	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	SantAngelo - Tuttocuoio	4:1 ✺
30.11.25	Piacenza - SantAngelo	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	SantAngelo - Correggese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLWLW

Trevigliese - SantAngelo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide