Match Info

Serie D - Group C - Round 28

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Vivo Azzurro TV


	Treviso		Luparense

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.3	4.95
	1.64	3.48	5.11	Watch
	1.64	3.4	5.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.65)	3.39 ↑ (3.33)	5.05 ↑ (5.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Treviso
55.4%

Draw
26.7%

Luparense
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

27.1%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

26.2%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Treviso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Luparense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treviso than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luparense than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Treviso - Luparense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Diallo C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
68', 0 - 2, Visinoni N. ⚽,
82', 0 - 3, Diallo C. ⚽,
82', 0 - 4, Visinoni N. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 11).

Treviso is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Luparense has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Treviso is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Treviso won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Treviso won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Luparense	6	4	2	0	14:3	11	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Treviso
Italian Serie D - Group C
15.03.26	Cjarlins Muzane - Treviso	1:1 ✺
02.03.26	Treviso - Union Clodiense	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Legnago Salus - Treviso	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Treviso - Calvi Noale	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Brian Lignano - Treviso	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWTWT
- Luparense FC
Italian Serie D - Group C
15.03.26	Luparense - Altavilla	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Luparense - Legnago Salus	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Cjarlins Muzane - Luparense	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Luparense - Brian Lignano	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Union Clodiense - Luparense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group C
09.11.25	Luparense - Treviso	0:2
19.01.25	Treviso - Luparense	2:1
22.09.24	Luparense - Treviso	3:1
03.12.23	Treviso - Luparense	2:1

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