Match Info

Serie D - Group C - Round 17

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday


	Treviso		Mestre

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.8	3.6
	1.92	2.92	3.95
	1.89	2.85	4.71	Watch
	1.85	2.9	4
	1.94	2.94	4.06
	1.87	2.8	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.14)	2.87 ↓ (3.4)	4.18 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Treviso
47%

Draw
31.4%

Mestre
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

26.9%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

25.6%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Treviso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Mestre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mestre might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Treviso than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mestre than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mestre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Treviso - Mestre Predictions

Users Predictions: Treviso will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Treviso will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
84', 🟥,
85', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group C (Play Offs: )).

Treviso is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mestre's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Treviso will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Treviso won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Treviso won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Treviso
Italian Serie D - Group C
14.12.25	Este - Treviso	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Treviso - San Luigi	4:0 ✺
30.11.25	Conegliano - Treviso	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Treviso - Altavilla	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Obermais - Treviso	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLWW
- AC Mestre
Italian Serie D - Group C
14.12.25	Mestre - Altavilla	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Legnago Salus - Mestre	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
03.12.25	Club Milano - Mestre	1:0 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group C
30.11.25	Mestre - Luparense	0:0 ✺
26.11.25	Mestre - Union Clodiense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group C
18.05.25	Treviso - Mestre	1:1 ET
16.02.25	Mestre - Treviso	2:0
18.02.24	Mestre - Treviso	1:0
15.10.23	Treviso - Mestre	1:0

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