The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Triglav 66.6%
Draw 19.3%
Primorje 14.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.1%
21.5%
13.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.7%
21%
13.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Triglav has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
Primorje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Triglav than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Primorje than the current prediction. (-1%)
Triglav - Primorje Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
81', 1 - 0, ⚽,
88', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 2nd in the Promotion ~ Prva liga (Promotion: ) and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Triglav won 3.
Triglav has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Primorje have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Triglav may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Triglav holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Triglav has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:8 (averaging 1.5:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Triglav against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 5:3 goals (averaging 1.7:1 per game).