Match Info

Druga NL - Round 6

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday


	Trnje Zagreb		Varteks Varazdin

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.35	2.15
	3.45	3.57	1.93	Watch
	2.96	3.36	2.16
	2.4	3.5	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.43)	3.45 ↑ (3.28)	2.17 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trnje Zagreb
31.3%

Draw
26.6%

Varteks Varazdin
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

27.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

28.1%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trnje Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Trnje Zagreb's form might have worsened.

Varteks Varazdin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Varteks Varazdin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trnje Zagreb than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trnje Zagreb, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varteks Varazdin than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Varteks Varazdin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Trnje Zagreb - Varteks Varazdin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Kovacec D. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Seda D. ⚽,
36', 1 - 2, Pticek I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
75', 2 - 2, Ljubic J. ⚽,
83', 2 - 3, Blazenic D. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 7).

Trnje has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Varteks's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Trnje may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Varteks has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Trnje won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trnje Zagreb
Croatian Druga NL
19.09.25	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Trnje Zagreb	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Trnje Zagreb - Solin	2:1 ✺
05.09.25	Mladost Ždralovi - Trnje Zagreb	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Trnje Zagreb - Uljanik Pula	1:4 ✺
23.08.25	Trnje Zagreb - Lučko	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWLLL
- NK Varteks Varazdin
Croatian Druga NL
20.09.25	Varteks Varazdin - Dugo Selo	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Varteks Varazdin - Kustošija	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Uskok Klis - Varteks Varazdin	3:0 ✺
23.08.25	Varteks Varazdin - Bjelovar	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
13.08.25	Varteks Varazdin - Trnje Zagreb	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
13.08.25	Varteks Varazdin - Trnje Zagreb	2:0

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