Match Info

Date: 28 November 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Troina		Giarre

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Troina
36.7%

Draw
31.8%

Giarre
31.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.3%

30.3%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

21.3%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Troina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Giarre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troina than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Troina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giarre than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Giarre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out).

Troina is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Giarre is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Troina Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
21.11.21	Troina - Sancataldese	0:0 ✺
14.11.21	Santa Maria Cilento - Troina	2:1 ✺
07.11.21	Troina - Trapani	0:0 ✺
31.10.21	Rende - Troina	0:0 ✺
24.10.21	Troina - Acireale	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLTTL
- ASD Giarre Calcio 1946
Italian Serie D - Group I
21.11.21	Giarre - Rende	1:1 ✺
14.11.21	Sancataldese - Giarre	1:0 ✺
07.11.21	Giarre - Cittanovese	1:3 ✺
31.10.21	Trapani - Giarre	0:0 ✺
24.10.21	Giarre - Città di SantAgata	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TLLTW

Troina - Giarre