Match Info

Date: 6 February 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Troina		Paternò

	1	X	2
	3.4	3	2
	3.25	3.1	2.05
	3.3	3	2.02
	3.29	3.15	2.04
	3.54	2.85	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (2.59)	3.02 ↑ (2.85)	2.06 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Troina
26.7%

Draw
29.7%

Paternò
43.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34%

30.9%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

22.2%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Troina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Troina's form might have worsened.

Paternò has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paternò's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troina than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paternò than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paternò could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Troina - Paternò Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).

Troina is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Paternò is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Paternò will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Troina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Troina Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
02.02.22	Portici - Troina	1:0 ✺
30.01.22	Troina - Lamezia Terme	2:2 ✺
23.01.22	Troina - San Luca	1:1 ✺
22.12.21	Gelbison Cilento - Troina	5:1 ✺
19.12.21	Troina - Licata	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTTLL
- ASD Paternò 1908
Italian Serie D - Group I
02.02.22	Paternò - Rende	1:3 ✺
30.01.22	Sancataldese - Paternò	2:1 ✺
23.01.22	Cittanovese - Paternò	0:5 ✺
22.12.21	Paternò - Trapani	1:1 ✺
19.12.21	Acireale - Paternò	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
03.10.21	Paternò - Troina	1:0
11.04.21	Paternò - Troina	0:1

Troina - Paternò

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Troina - Paternò Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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