Match Info

Division 1 Women - Round 20

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Romssa Arena (Tromsø)


	Tromsø		Fortuna Ålesund

	1	X	2
	4.41	5.07	1.51
	5.25	4.5	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.83 ↑ (4.32)	4.79 ↓ (4.95)	1.49 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tromsø
19%

Draw
19.2%

Fortuna Ålesund
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21%

18.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

18%

62%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tromsø has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Fortuna Ålesund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tromsø than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Ålesund than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Tromsø - Fortuna Ålesund Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Aspenes M. (G) 25. Birkelund I. 10. Granlind E. (C) 14. Hegg N. 16. Johansen E. 6. Ludvigsen E. 17. Machlik E. 7. Martinussen S. 28. Selnes T. 11. Skall E. 9. Veglo V.	12. Jorgensen I. (G) 10. Gashi L. 18. Jastad I. 11. Kroken I. 14. Luthcke C. 3. Muri M. (C) 19. Perdersen M. 5. Riis S. 13. Saeteroy M. 8. Skretting I. 9. Sunde K.
Substitutes
15. Camitz L. 5. Lillegard O. 8. Pettersen R. M. 12. Roselund L. (G) 20. Skjelstad K. 26. Turflinger E. 35. Vang M.	22. Drozdzik A. 4. Eid M. 6. Gudnadottir D. 30. Holte S. (G) 7. Nodland I. 16. Renolen R. 25. Senior-Harvik S. 20. Solskjaer K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Sunde K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 2, Sunde K. ⚽,
54', Selnes T. 🟨,
60', Hegg N. ↓, Turflinger E. ↑,
67', Riis S. ↓, Eid M. ↑,
73', Kroken I. ↓, Nodland I. ↑,
78', Martinussen S. ↓, Skjelstad K. ↑,
86', Jastad I. ↓, Skretting I. ↑,
86', Gashi L. ↓, Senior-Harvik S. ↑,
86', Saeteroy M. ↓, Drozdzik A. ↑,
90', Skall E. ↓, Lillegard O. ↑,
90', Selnes T. ↓, Vang M. ↑,
90+3', Luthcke C. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Division 1 Women (Relegation) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Toppserien Women (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tromsø won 2.

In recent matches, Tromsø has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Fortuna Ålesund is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Fortuna Ålesund may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Fortuna Ålesund is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Tromsø won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1.4:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tromsø won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tromsø IL Women
Norwegian Division 1 Women
28.09.25	Viking Stavanger - Tromsø	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Tromsø - Åsane	4:1 ✺
07.09.25	Tromsø - Fyllingsdalen	2:4 ✺
31.08.25	Odd - Tromsø	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Tromsø - Haugesund	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWLTL
- Fortuna Ålesund
Norwegian Division 1 Women
14.09.25	Fortuna Ålesund - Hamarkameratene	4:0 ✺
07.09.25	Fortuna Ålesund - Arna-Bjørnar	3:1 ✺
31.08.25	Haugesund - Fortuna Ålesund	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	Fortuna Ålesund - Odd	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Molde - Fortuna Ålesund	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 1 Women
13.04.25	Fortuna Ålesund - Tromsø	4:1
22.06.24	Fortuna Ålesund - Tromsø	6:0
12.11.23	Fortuna Ålesund - Tromsø	0:1
22.10.23	Tromsø - Fortuna Ålesund	3:0
10.06.23	Fortuna Ålesund - Tromsø	4:2
21.05.23	Tromsø - Fortuna Ålesund	2:1
24.08.22	Tromsø - Fortuna Ålesund	1:0

Tromsø - Fortuna Ålesund: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide