Match Info

NORWAY: DIVISION 3 - GROUP 6 - ROUND 13

Date: 30 July 2023, Sunday


	Tromsø 2		Asker Fotball

	1	X	2
	4.4	4.2	1.53
	4	4.25	1.57
	4.14	4.33	1.54
	5	4.85	1.47
	4.5	4.75	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.41 ↑ (2.51)	4.48 ↑ (3.98)	1.53 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tromsø 2
20.5%

Draw
20.2%

Asker Fotball
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

22.7%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

22.1%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tromsø 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tromsø 2's form might have worsened.

Asker Fotball has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Asker Fotball's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tromsø 2 than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tromsø 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Asker Fotball than the current prediction. (-16.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Asker Fotball, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	11.1%	88.9%

Tromsø 2 - Asker Fotball Predictions

Users Predictions: Asker Fotball will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 11 and 5).

Recent matches Tromsø 2 is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Asker is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tromsø IL 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
24.07.23	Skeid 2 - Tromsø 2	2:1 ✺
26.06.23	Tromsø 2 - Fløya	2:1 ✺
18.06.23	HIF Stein - Tromsø 2	0:1 ✺
11.06.23	Tromsø 2 - Sri Lanka Air Force	2:3
04.06.23	Skjervøy - Tromsø 2	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWLT
- Asker Fotball
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
24.07.23	Asker Fotball - Sarpsborg 2	5:1 ✺
25.06.23	Mjølner - Asker Fotball	1:2 ✺
17.06.23	Skjervøy - Asker Fotball	1:2 ✺
13.06.23	Asker Fotball - Skeid 2	6:2 ✺
03.06.23	Oppsal - Asker Fotball	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWWL

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