Match Info

UKRAINE: Druha Liga - Round 30

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday


	Trostianets		Real Pharma Odesa

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.35	3.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.92)	3.35 ↑ (3.2)	3.93 ↑ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trostianets
49.8%

Draw
27.1%

Real Pharma Odesa
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

28.4%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

24.1%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trostianets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Real Pharma Odesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trostianets than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Trostianets that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Pharma Odesa than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Pharma Odesa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Slipukhin A. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Slipukhin A. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
56', 3 - 0, Klyus A. ⚽,
69', 3 - 1, Shylov M. ⚽,
71', 4 - 1, Slipukhin A. ⚽,
73', 5 - 1, Kravchenko Y. ⚽,
77', 6 - 1, Derevinsky S. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Trostianets
Ukrainian Druha Liga
19.05.24	UCSA - Trostianets	4:0 ✺
11.05.24	Trostianets - Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka	0:2 ✺
04.05.24	Kremin 2 - Trostianets	1:0 ✺
27.04.24	Trostianets - Lokomotyv Kyiv	1:1 ✺
17.04.24	Karpaty Lviv 2 - Trostianets	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTL
- Real Pharma Odesa
Ukrainian Druha Liga
17.05.24	Real Pharma Odesa - Nyva Vinnycja	0:4 ✺
03.05.24	Real Pharma Odesa - Skala 1911	0:2 ✺
28.04.24	Rukh Lviv 2 - Real Pharma Odesa	1:0
22.04.24	Real Pharma Odesa - Kudrivka	0:1 ✺
17.04.24	Druzhba Myrivka - Real Pharma Odesa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Druha Liga
28.10.23	Real Pharma Odesa - Trostianets	0:2

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