Match Info

NORWAY: Division 3 - Group 4 - Round 23

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday


	Trygg Lade		Verdal

	1	X	2
	1.28	5.5	8
	1.28	5.62	6.39
	1.3	5.76	6.96	Watch
	1.36	5.5	4.75
	1.26	5.7	7.75
	1.28	5.5	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.39)	5.6 ↑ (5.25)	6.98 ↑ (4.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trygg Lade
70.6%

Draw
16.3%

Verdal
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

17.1%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

17.4%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trygg Lade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Trygg Lade's performance.

Verdal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trygg Lade than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verdal than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Trygg Lade - Verdal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Engvik M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
76', 1 - 1, Vollan M. ⚽,
90+7', 2 - 1, Eliassen M. F. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 and 11).

Trygg Lade is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Verdal is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Trygg Lade is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Trygg Lade won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SK Trygg Lade
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
22.09.24	Rana - Trygg Lade	1:0 ✺
14.09.24	Trygg Lade - Byåsen	4:0 ✺
09.09.24	Melhus - Trygg Lade	2:0 ✺
02.09.24	Rosenborg II - Trygg Lade	4:4 ✺
24.08.24	Trygg Lade - Tiller	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLTL
- Verdal IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
23.09.24	Verdal - Rosenborg II	0:0 ✺
17.09.24	Verdal - Stabæk 2	3:2 ✺
07.09.24	Rana - Verdal	6:1 ✺
31.08.24	Verdal - Mosjøen	5:0 ✺
24.08.24	Byåsen - Verdal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
13.04.24	Verdal - Trygg Lade	0:1

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