Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA WESTFALEN - ROUND 3

Date: 19 November 2022, Saturday


	TuS Erndtebrück		Gütersloh

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.33	1.49
	5	4.4	1.42
	5.68	4.71	1.47
	5.7	4.6	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.28 ↑ (3.22)	4.51 ↑ (4)	1.45 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TuS Erndtebrück
17.2%

Draw
20.2%

Gütersloh
62.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

22.9%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

22.3%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TuS Erndtebrück has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that TuS Erndtebrück's form might have worsened.

Gütersloh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gütersloh's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TuS Erndtebrück than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for TuS Erndtebrück, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gütersloh than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gütersloh, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Erndtebrück won 1.

Erndtebrück is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Gütersloh is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Gütersloh is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Erndtebrück won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Erndtebrück won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TuS Erndtebrück
German Oberliga Westfalen
13.11.22	TuS Erndtebrück - Vreden	2:1 ✺
06.11.22	Bövinghausen - TuS Erndtebrück	4:1 ✺
30.10.22	Victoria Clarholz - TuS Erndtebrück	4:0 ✺
23.10.22	TuS Erndtebrück - Delbrücker	2:2 ✺
16.10.22	TSG Sprockhövel - TuS Erndtebrück	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLTL
- FC Gütersloh
German Oberliga Westfalen
13.11.22	Sportfreunde Lotte - Gütersloh	3:2 ✺
06.11.22	Gütersloh - Eintracht Rheine	0:1 ✺
30.10.22	Westfalia Rhynern - Gütersloh	1:3 ✺
23.10.22	Gütersloh - Gievenbeck	3:1 ✺
16.10.22	Gütersloh - Bövinghausen	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Westfalen
24.04.22	Gütersloh - TuS Erndtebrück	5:3
19.09.21	TuS Erndtebrück - Gütersloh	3:0
15.09.19	Gütersloh - TuS Erndtebrück	2:1
17.02.19	TuS Erndtebrück - Gütersloh	0:1
26.08.18	Gütersloh - TuS Erndtebrück	1:1
21.05.17	Gütersloh - TuS Erndtebrück	1:1
04.12.16	TuS Erndtebrück - Gütersloh	5:3

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