Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA WESTFALEN - ROUND 32

Date: 14 May 2023, Sunday


	TuS Erndtebrück		Siegen

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.78	1.91
	3.34	3.8	1.91
	3.3	3.75	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (2.91)	3.78 ↑ (3.7)	1.91 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TuS Erndtebrück
27.7%

Draw
24.3%

Siegen
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

24.4%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

23.5%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TuS Erndtebrück has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Siegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TuS Erndtebrück than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siegen than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Siegen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Erndtebrück won 1.

Erndtebrück has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Siegen is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Erndtebrück could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Siegen will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Erndtebrück won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Erndtebrück won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TuS Erndtebrück
German Oberliga Westfalen
07.05.23	Vreden - TuS Erndtebrück	5:2 ✺
30.04.23	TuS Erndtebrück - Bövinghausen	0:6 ✺
23.04.23	TuS Erndtebrück - Victoria Clarholz	0:0 ✺
16.04.23	Delbrücker - TuS Erndtebrück	3:2 ✺
10.04.23	TuS Erndtebrück - TSG Sprockhövel	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL
- Sportfreunde Siegen
German Oberliga Westfalen
07.05.23	Siegen - Victoria Clarholz	3:2 ✺
03.05.23	Gütersloh - Siegen	2:1 ✺
30.04.23	Delbrücker - Siegen	3:1 ✺
23.04.23	Siegen - TSG Sprockhövel	1:2 ✺
15.04.23	Paderborn II - Siegen	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Westfalen
25.11.22	Siegen - TuS Erndtebrück	3:0
18.04.22	Siegen - TuS Erndtebrück	1:0
05.09.21	TuS Erndtebrück - Siegen	3:3
06.09.20	TuS Erndtebrück - Siegen	0:1
27.10.19	TuS Erndtebrück - Siegen	2:1
14.12.18	TuS Erndtebrück - Siegen	2:1
12.08.18	Siegen - TuS Erndtebrück	3:2

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