The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tuggeranong United 32.6%
Draw 24.8%
Canberra Olympic 42.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39%
24.4%
36.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.5%
24.1%
36.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tuggeranong United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tuggeranong United's form might have worsened.
Canberra Olympic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Canberra Olympic's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tuggeranong United than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tuggeranong United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canberra Olympic than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Canberra Olympic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tuggeranong United - Canberra Olympic Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 4)
2', 0 - 1, ⚽,
8', 0 - 2, ⚽,
11', 1 - 2, ⚽,
32', 1 - 3, ⚽,
37', 1 - 4, ⚽,
45+5', 2 - 4, ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
49', 3 - 4, ⚽,
64', 🟥,
65', 4 - 4, ⚽,
70', 5 - 4, ⚽,
86', 6 - 4, ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL ACT (Play Offs: ) and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tuggeranong United won 4.
Tuggeranong United is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Canberra Olympic has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Canberra Olympic has had a series of away games.
Tuggeranong United is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tuggeranong United won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 22:43. (average 1.1:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Tuggeranong United won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:24. (average 1.1:2).