Match Info

TURKEY: 3. Lig Group 4 - Round 26

Date: 26 March 2025, Wednesday


	Turgutlu		Denizlispor

	1	X	2
	2.31	4	2.4
	2.42	3.4	2.68
	2.31	4	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (3.07)	3.8 ↑ (3.5)	2.49 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Turgutlu
39.1%

Draw
24.1%

Denizlispor
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

25.8%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

25.6%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Turgutlu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Turgutlu's performance.

Denizlispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Denizlispor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Turgutlu than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Turgutlu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denizlispor than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Denizlispor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Turgutlu - Denizlispor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Bilgi U. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Ulaman M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Turgutlu has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Denizlispor is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Denizlispor will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Denizlispor to win the game is with odds 2.02.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Turgutlu won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 7 Eylül Turgutlu 1984 SY
Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
22.03.25	Turgutlu - Edirnespor Gençlik	0:2 ✺
16.03.25	Sebat Gençlik - Turgutlu	4:2 ✺
09.03.25	Turgutlu - Zonguldak Kömürspor	2:3 ✺
02.03.25	Kırıkkale - Turgutlu	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Turgutlu - Tepecik Belediye	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Denizlispor
Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
22.03.25	Denizlispor - Sebat Gençlik	1:2 ✺
16.03.25	Zonguldak Kömürspor - Denizlispor	2:2 ✺
09.03.25	Denizlispor - Kırıkkale	4:1 ✺
16.02.25	Tepecik Belediye - Denizlispor	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Denizlispor - Erciyes 38	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.3 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
17.11.24	Denizlispor - Turgutlu	0:4
Turkish Cup
24.11.20	Denizlispor - Turgutlu	1:2

Turgutlu - Denizlispor: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide